Dylan Denmark's Week 8 Gambling Picks
I had a .500 average last week making me 16-26-2 for the year.
Lady luck has not been with me this year and could've had a really good week last week. Notre Dame had 10 point lead before giving up an USC touchdown with a minute left and Iowa not converting a 2-pt conversion late would've made me 5-1-1.
Anyway here we go.
All lines via http://www.vegasinsider.com
Florida -5 @ South Carolina & the Under 48
This is a hard game with the spread with Florida playing well the last two weeks against top 10 teams and South Carolina coming off one of its best wins in a long time.
This line opened at 6 and has came down to 5 and some are now at 4.5.
My only reason to think this line is coming down is Vegas thinks Greenard and Zuniga are out but I still like Florida.
South Carolina is rolling with their injured back-up quarterback and maybe their third string so expect them to run the ball.
This Florida and South Carolina matchup has hit under 49 the last five times they've played and every game game except against LSU has went under.
I like Florida 24-17.
Ohio State -28 @ Northwestern
Ohio State might be the No. 1 team in the country and seems like they are better this year without Urban Meyer.
The defense is much better than a year ago and offense is most likely right behind Oklahoma and LSU with the best offenses in the country.
Even though this is a Friday night game, Ohio State is coming off a bye which should not affect them.
Ohio State rolls on a Friday night.
No. 2 Clemson -24 @ Louisville and the over 62.5
Well, last week I took FSU in the points mainly because I thought FSU would score enough and Clemson had not flipped the switch... and Clemson flipped the switch.
For the over, Louisville has scored more than 24 every game and given up 35, 39, and 59 in their last three ACC matchups.
Clemson comes out red hot and covers.
Tennessee +34.5 @ No. 1 Alabama
How about Tennessee getting their win last week against Mississippi State.
Anytime you take the spread against Alabama, your hoping for a backdoor cover and that's what I expect. Alabama barely covered the spread against Texas A&M and did not cover against Ole Miss and South Carolina.
If Alabama scores 55 Tennessee only needs to score 21. Tennessee scores late.
No. 16 Michigan @ No. 7 Penn State -9
Michigan has not lived up to the hype this season mainly playing top competition. They've scored 40, 52, and 42 against unranked teams but only scoring 14 and 10 against Wisconsin and Iowa.
Now, both Wisconsin and Iowa have really good defenses but so does Penn State only allowing 8.2 points per game, No. 2 nationally.
Take Penn State at home at night.
No. 2 LSU 18.5 @ Miss State
This is a potential trap game for LSU coming off Florida and before they play Auburn next week.
This is a Mississippi State team that is not good but expect them to come out better coming off that Tennessee loss.
LSU will score somewhere north of 45 and Miss. State has scored 10, 23, 28, and 24 the last four weeks.