Dylan Denmark's Week 7 Gambling Picks
Well, I am 13-23-2 on the year. At this point, I'm not sure why anyone would take my advice on spreads but here ya go.
All lines via http://www.vegasinsider.com
Florida @ LSU -13.5
When a team comes off an emotional win as Florida did last week, the team doesn't usually follow it up with another big emotional win.
I like LSU to cover this game mainly because I don't think Florida will score enough points to stay with LSU.
LSU is first or second in just about every offensive category: points per game, total yards, passing yards, and 3rd down percentage.
I was wrong last week on Florida, but I think a lot had to do with Florida being at home. Different story traveling to Death Valley at night. Take the points. Also, I'm not taking it but every Florida game has hit the under.
LSU 35 Florida 20
Texas +11 vs Oklahoma
Last year this game was a thriller with Dicker the kicker making the game-winning field goal. I think this game will be a lot like last year and will be the best game of the weekend.
This is a huge game for both teams because one lose on your resume will be hard to jump one lose SEC team. Texas already has one lose to LSU and if Oklahoma goes down, there might not be a BIG 12 team in the playoff.
Oklahoma in a close one.
FSU +27 @ Clemson
I've gone back and forth with this game and I like FSU.
FSU is averaging 33 points per game and is 16th in the country in passing with 308 yards.
Clemson has yet to flip the switch, so I'll take the Noles +27.
Michigan State @ Wisconsin -10.5
Michigan State has had a brutal schedule with this being their third ranked opponent and with back-to-back road games against top 10 teams.
Wisconsin is more physical and should wear out Michigan State in the second half.
Notre Dame -10 @ USC
Since the start of the 2018 season, Notre Dame is 16-0 when not facing Clemson or Georgia and scoring 37 points a game.
Notre Dame has 10 sacks in its last two games and 14 takeaways on the year which is third most in the country.
USC is 7-11 dating back to last year and 2-13 straight up when their an underdog.
Notre Dame wins in a blowout.
Penn State Iowa +3.5
Everyone has written off Iowa after losing to Michigan, but I think Iowa is going to win this game with their defense.
Iowa's quarterback has 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions at home and Penn State has not faced ranked team all year.
Iowa at home +3.5