Dylan Denmark's Gambling Picks Week 6
Well, so far this year I am 11-19-2. Not too hot of a start but I'm going undefeated this week.
Auburn -3 @ Florida & Under 48
This line opened as a pick'em and has moved to a field goal in Auburn's favor and should move more before Saturday.
With that being said, I'm pretty confident Auburn will win this game. Florida has shown the inability to have any success running the ball and they now welcome one of the best D-lines in the country.
Although Florida's offense has had slow starts to every game so far, they average 6.4 yards per play which ranks 21st in the country. Another stat I saw that surprised me was Florida leads the nation in redzone defense. Out of 14 red zone trips, Florida has only given up five scores (three field goals and two touchdowns.)
I think Auburn is the more complete team and the only way I see Florida winning this game is by creating turnovers and the home underdog crowd keeping them in this one. Also, every Florida game has hit the under.
War Eagle -3.
UCF -4 @ Cincy
Last Friday night game was as bad as it gets with Penn State rolling through Maryland. Most bets were on Maryland as they saw an upset, but I don't see an upset here.
Cincinnati has played well against bad teams and okay against good teams. Most people have only watched them play against Ohio State when they got rolled 42-0 and I think UCF rolls in this one.
UCF is top ten in the country in yards per play and ranks 13th in 3rd down defense.
UCFs offense will be a little interesting this week Dillon Gabriel is now the starting quarterback and Brandon Wimbush has moved to wide receiver.
Washington -16 @ Stanford
This is not a good Stanford team and a really good Washington team.
Stanford has been hit with the injury bug and has been beat by 14 or more by UCF, USC and Oregon.
Expect Jacob Eason to have somewhere around 400 yards and 4 TDs.
Oklahoma -33 @ Kansas
First let me start by saying, isn't it unfair for any Big 12 defense to go up against Lincoln Riley?
Anyway, Oklahoma will put up somewhere north of 50 points and it doesn't help that Kanas star running back is not on the team anymore. He was one of their biggest playmakers rushing for 187 yards in their win over Boston College a few weeks ago. Oklahoma big
Michigan State @ Ohio State -20
How about this game being a primetime matchup for ABC.... Yea, sorry Ohio State rolls.
Ohio State is averaging 52 points a game and I don't see Michigan State doing anything to slow down this offense. Also, the buckeyes defense might be one the best in the country. I don't see an average at best Michigan State offense putting up enough point to cover the spread.